New poll shows One Nation ahead of Labor and Coalition in Victoria - as Jacinta Allan's future hangs in the balance

Published: 01:33, 14 July 2026 | Updated: 01:33, 14 July 2026 A major poll has shown One Nation still ahead of Labor and the Coalition in Victoria, as voters shift away from the state government. Polling conducted by Redbridge of 6,500 Victorians over the past fortnight has placed One Nation in front with a 27 per cent primary vote. Labor and the Coalition each recorded 26 per cent, while the Greens secured 12 per cent and other parties 8 per cent. The Victorian election will be held on November 28. Despite the Coalition's likely lead on a two-party-preferred basis, Labor is seeking to frame the result as evidence it would need One Nation's support to govern. Labor has launched a fresh ad targeting the Coalition and One Nation, claiming they would impose $40 billion in spending cuts. 'Polling says the Liberals and One Nation can only form government together in Victoria,' the advertisement says. 'Nurses sacked, hospital beds shut, emergency department upgrades cut and longer wait times.'Tell the Liberals and One Nation: hands off our hospitals.'' The polling comes as Victorians express anger over Allan's handling of crime, particularly youth offending. Allan also faced criticism this month after reports alleged the government knew the CFMEU was inflating costs on major projects but still instructed contractors to pay within the government's $109 billion Big Build program. A major poll has shown One Nation still ahead of Labor and the Coalition in Victoria, as voters shift away from the state government Labor has launched a fresh ad targeting the Coalition and One Nation, claiming they would impose $40 billion in spending cuts The widening corruption scandal centres on allegations that organised crime figures and bikie gangs infiltrated Victoria's major infrastructure projects through the CFMEU. Investigations have alleged extortion, violence and billions of dollars in inflated project costs, with money allegedly funnelled into ghost shifts, nepotism and payments to underworld figures such as Mick Gatto. Allan has rejected calls for a royal commission into the construction industry and said it would cost too much money and take too long to make any difference.