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strengthening: Drought threats high, rain defict at 13% Skymet has warned that India's southwest monsoon is weakening, with rainfall likely to stay below normal through the rest of the season. The uneven pattern could deepen moisture deficits in several states even as eastern regions face spells of heavy rain.Advertisement.pagenode__2684512 #comment_box{display:none}.section__education .description.paywall .elec_stripe_iFrame {display: none;}.dark-mode .livetv__sticky svg path{stroke: #fff;} .dark-mode .livetv__sticky svg text{fill:#fff}table .shopping__widget {display:none}table .inline_ad2 {display: none;}.trinity__container{display: none;} .autiostory a{} table tr td #teads-ad{display:none}table tr td .ads__container{display:none}ul>li div#shoppingWidgetLSH{display:none}ul>li div#shoppingWidget_mobile{display:none}.Story_story__content__body__qCd5E .Story_description__fq_4S>ul>li:has(.inline-story-add) div { display: none; }.pagetype__story ul li #checktheseout2{display: none}.newspress_rhs_widget .ads_container .top_ad>* * { text-align: center; margin: 0 auto; }.ite_mg_banner:nth-of-type(2) { display: none; } .pagenode__2672529 .inline_ad2{display:none}The developing weather pattern has allowed dry winds to dominate Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR, Rajasthan. (Photo: Windy)India Today Science DeskNew Delhi,UPDATED: Aug 19, 2026 07:30 IST .ai_assist_bar2 { top:30px } India's 2026 southwest monsoon is showing increasing signs of weakness, with private weather forecasting agency Skymet Weather warning that rainfall during the remainder of the season could remain significantly below normal. The agency has projected seasonal rainfall at around 94% of the Long Period Average (LPA), placing the monsoon in the below-normal category. According to Skymet's latest assessment, the outlook for the second half of the monsoon season is particularly concerning. Rainfall during August is expected to be around 92% of LPA, while September could see only 89% of normal rainfall, making it the weakest month of the season. window.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function () { const section = document.querySelector('.pointer-section'); if (section) { document.getElementById('taboola-mid-article-personalisation').style.display = 'none'; } }); let mode='organic-thumbnails-mid-personalisation-desk-new'; if(window.itViewPort=='mobile'){ mode='organic-thumbnails-mid-personalisation-mob-new' } window._ttCc = window._ttCc || []; window._ttCc.push(function() { window._taboola = window._taboola || []; _taboola.push({ mode: mode, container: "taboola-mid-article-personalisation", placement: "Mid Article Personalisation", target_type: "mix" }); _taboola.push({ flush: true }); }); The agency estimates a 60% probability of below-normal rainfall in August, rising to 70% in September, indicating a growing risk of drought-like conditions in several parts of the country as the monsoon approaches its withdrawal phase. The forecast aligns with the current rainfall situation. India's cumulative rainfall departure since June 1 remains at 13% below normal, reflecting uneven monsoon performance across the country. Skymet has identified Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh among the states most vulnerable to rainfall deficits. These regions could witness prolonged dry spells, affecting soil moisture, reservoir levels and kharif crop growth. In contrast, eastern India is expected to remain the monsoon's stronghold for the next few weeks. Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, West Bengal and eastern Uttar Pradesh are likely to continue receiving good rainfall through the remainder of August. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has also indicated active monsoon conditions over eastern and central India due to a depression currently located over Jharkhand. Under its influence, very heavy rainfall is expected over Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and eastern Madhya Pradesh during the next 24 hours, while moderate to heavy rainfall will continue across eastern and central Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh. Meanwhile, northwestern India remains under the influence of dry air. Although minor shifts in the monsoon trough could trigger isolated showers over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR, Chandigarh and western Uttar Pradesh, rainfall coverage is expected to remain limited and most areas are likely to experience predominantly dry weather. Experts warn that the increasingly uneven distribution of rainfall may pose challenges for agriculture and water resources. While eastern states could face localized flooding from repeated rain spells, large parts of central and northwest India may struggle with worsening moisture deficits as the monsoon heads into September.- EndsPublished By: Sibu Kumar TripathiPublished On: Aug 19, 2026 07:30 IST Also WatchPakistan's Iran-US peace bid fails; Dhaka sets terms for Tarique Rahman's India visitVideo: Annamalai opens up on quitting BJP at India Today Tamil Nadu RoundtableEvery citizen has a stake in the nation: Aadhav Arjuna echoes Singapore PMAdvertisement.ad_300_100 .adtext{display:none;}Read ThisHoroscope Today: Astrological prediction August 19, 2026 for all zodiac signsMonsoon weakening: Drought threats high as rain defict stands at 13%Sohail Khan lost 12 Kg after a stomach infection? 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const trackOuterWidth = track.clientWidth; prev.removeAttribute("disabled"); next.removeAttribute("disabled"); if (track }); Latest News Headlines Pisces Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: There will be discord in the family, take special care of health | Aquarius Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will perform well at work, boss will praise | Capricorn Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Capricorns Will Receive Honour and Respect, Relationships May Experience Ups and Downs | Sagittarius Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will spend time with close ones, will achieve goals | Scorpio Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Stay away from arguments, will take interest in business performance | Libra Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will work with financial prudence, will engage in excellent work | Virgo Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: A good time is about to begin, you will maintain the respect of advisors | Leo Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Do new work properly, maintain sweet speech and behaviour | Cancer Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Do not commit financial fraud, complete important tasks properly | Gemini Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will maintain pressure on opponents, will give more importance to family members | Taurus Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will Benefit from Experiences, Stay Away from Cunning People | Aries Tarot Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Will complete work in a good manner, know how the day will go today | Pisces Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Be cautious in transactions, will not be misled | Aquarius Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: Success in Love, Will Be Able to Express Your Heartfelt Feelings | Capricorn Horoscope Today, August 19, 2026: You Will Increase Mutual Happiness, Share Information
المصدر: India Today
| Source: India Today