Best MLB Player Props Today: Jeffers, Buxton Home Run Picks

LifestyleVicesBest MLB Player Props Today: Jeffers, Buxton Home Run PicksByJosh Shepardson,Contributor.Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Josh Shepardson is a sports betting analyst, focused on player props.Follow AuthorAug 24, 2026, 01:54am EDT--:-- / --:--This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.Ryan Jeffers has an excellent matchup and park factors to hit a home run tonight.Getty ImagesSamuel Basallo and Nathaniel Lowe didn’t hit home runs on Friday. Sadly, that means the MLB best home run props have fallen to a 20-79 record, with three no-bets.The home run bets have spent nearly the entire year in the black. After getting both picks wrong on Friday, profits disappeared. Anyone who has bet $100 on each of the suggested home run props has lost $50.It’s a disappointing outcome for spending all season grinding the data. Nevertheless, it’s part of the betting game. Home run props are also long-shot wagers, and most won’t cash. That said, getting just a few right can generate sizable profits, and there’s time to right the ship and generate a profit on the home run bets for the 2026 MLB season.Turning things around can start tonight with two teammates in a drool-inducing matchup and a homer-friendly ballpark. Their home run props are admittedly chalky, but they offer enough value to bet when factoring in their numbers and the conditions tonight. Best MLB Home Run PropsRyan Jeffers (Minnesota Twins - C)Over 0.5 Home Runs (+370) at FanDuel SportsbookRyan Jeffers won’t be confused with MLB’s elite power hitters, but he’s hit 10 home runs in 67 games and 267 plate appearances this year. The veteran catcher has hit two home runs with a 23.1% line-drive rate, 43.1% fly-ball rate, 41.5% hard-hit rate, 91.4 mph average exit velocity, 21.2-degree launch angle and 9.2% barrel rate against southpaws this season. He has also hit 13 home runs in 384 plate appearances against lefties...