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The Alternative Premier League Table: No 32 – Individual errors leading to goals and shots

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The Athletic
2026/04/09 - 04:08 502 مشاهدة
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After looking at kick-off times in the previous instalment, this edition examines each team’s errors made leading to a shot (including goals). As usual, the article that follows is long but detailed, so please settle down and enjoy it all — or use the index at the bottom of the page to jump to a specific club. Across the nine Matchday 31 games (including Arsenal’s 2-2 draw at Wolverhampton Wanderers that got moved up to February due to the Carabao Cup final, but not Manchester City’s as-yet-unscheduled home fixture with Crystal Palace), Premier League teams made six errors leading to goals. That is the fourth-highest across a matchday behind the seven on Matchdays 19, 14 and 13, which was when we first analysed the individual errors leading to shots metric in this column. The Premier League returns this weekend after a lengthy break for international football and the FA Cup quarter-finals, giving us the chance to revisit the errors leading to shots metric in this week’s Alternative Table, comparing the past 15 rounds to the numbers from the first 16 games of the season. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("[id='datawrapper-chart-Ge2va']");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r Since December 15, no team have made more errors leading to a shot in the league and both domestic cups than Arsenal’s 31 (eight of which have ended in goals). They have also played the most matches at 23, one more than both Chelsea and Manchester City. Kepa Arrizabalaga and Ben White misjudged situations in their Carabao Cup final defeat to City and FA Cup exit against Southampton. In the league, David Raya and Gabriel went for the same ball in the lead-up to Wolves’ late equaliser in February. Gabriel, Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice gave the ball away in their defensive third against Bournemouth, Manchester United and Spurs. A lack of concentration and communication, which often occurs across a tiring season, has played its part. But the key has been to take the attack to Arsenal, especially when they have possession. Across Arsenal's first 16 league matches, teams often sat back, with a league-low 61 per cent of their pass attempts occurring under pressure. In the last 15, that has risen to 67 per cent, which is fourth-highest. Bournemouth, who have the league’s fifth-best PPDA (passes per defensive action, a measure of how well a team presses) at 11.0, are likely to pose a stiff challenge when they visit on Saturday. With a younger squad and Pep Guardiola yet to find a balance, City looked shaky in the first half of 2025-26, making 16 errors leading to shots (three of which led to goals). They faced issues playing out of the back and looked ill-equipped to handle the direct, vertical style Guardiola experimented with. Since December 15, though, City have reduced the errors to seven in 14 games. Fielding a consistent back line of Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guehi and Nico O’Reilly has helped. Rodri has improved with time after a stuttering first half of the campaign following a long lay-off with a knee injury, helping City defend large spaces while adding assurance in possession. All of that has secured one trophy and a place in the FA Cup semi-finals at the end of the month, while they remain in the league title hunt, nine points behind Arsenal with a game in hand and a head-to-head with the leaders at home to come. Midfielders Yasin Ayari and Carlos Baleba have contributed to six of Brighton’s 21 errors since December 15, often while picking the ball up from the back line after their team have baited the opposition press. The duo made only one error each in the season’s first 16 matches. Fabian Hurzeler’s side have struggled with their decision-making — in and out of possession — throughout his second year as head coach, manifesting into mistakes. Lewis Dunk’s misguided header for Milos Kerkez’s equaliser in the recent 2-1 win against Liverpool is one example of this, while West Ham United’s Jarrod Bowen scored from Brighton mistakes in both the 1-1 draw at the Amex in early December and the 2-2 in east London three weeks later. Pedro Porro led the league in errors leading to an opposition shot with five (level with Calvin Bassey of Fulham and Wolves’ Andre) in the first 16 matches. Spurs had limited options to play out from the back, leaving Porro their outlet. In their 15 games since, Djed Spence, a right-footer playing at left-back, has been culpable, with a league-high six errors leading to a shot (including two goals). Teams have pressed Spence to force him inside or onto his weaker foot by the byline. Combined with Tottenham's midfield lacking structure and their front six often pushing high up the pitch, cheap giveaways have been common. Their seven errors resulting in goals since December 15 have frequently been down to poor individual decision-making. Radu Dragusin and Yves Bissouma were culpable for a goal each in February's 2-2 draw with Manchester City. Against Arsenal, a few weeks later, it was Dragusin again and Spence. That does not include the league-high three red cards they have picked up in this period. New head coach Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille side made 45 errors leading to a shot or goal in Ligue 1 from the start of 2024-25 until his departure in February (second-worst in the French top flight, behind Nice’s 54). Leeds ranked bottom for errors leading to a shot in their first 16 league matches with just six, though three of those ended in goals. These mistakes occurred while attempting to play out from the back, contributing to manager Daniel Farke's decision to change the team's approach midway through the season. They have made marginally more errors — eight — in the 15 games since but none of these have led to goals. Leeds have often had a settled defensive shape while committing these miscues, giving them sufficient cover and reducing the quality of opposition attempts. Farke’s side have allowed more shots in the past 15 matches (12.5 per 90 minutes) than in their first 16 (11.6) but fewer of those efforts have been on target (3.7 vs 4.3 per 90) and more have been blocked (4.0 vs 2.9 per 90). United have been cautious in their build-up play under Ruben Amorim and Michael Carrick. Their long-pass rate of 11 per cent is the third-highest in the past eight seasons. They made three errors leading to goals in the first 16 matches, all of which came in the first month of the season against Arsenal, Fulham and Manchester City. Since then, they have made no mistakes that have led to the opponents scoring. Amorim’s United had just started finding some defensive resistance but were struggling in attack before he was sacked in January. Carrick has built on that and added attacking potency to oversee a rise to third place. United have attempted riskier passes out from the back under their former midfielder, leading to a few mistakes. But they have done so from a more solid defensive base, with support from an energised Casemiro and a reinstated Kobbie Mainoo, restricting opponents to low-quality chances. Their possessions lost in the defensive third have dropped significantly from 38.9 per 90 minutes in their first 16 matches to 30.4 per 90 in the following 15. They have also minimised issues from set pieces thanks to Senne Lammens’ dominant presence in goal. Sloppy defending has defined the second half of Newcastle’s season, with their 20 errors leading to shots (including five goals) since December 15 ranking only behind Brighton. Concerningly for Eddie Howe, these mistakes have come about in different ways. Nick Pope fumbled regulation saves and conceded goals against Everton and Liverpool. The goalkeeper has not been helped by his defence giving the ball away cheaply on multiple occasions and losing duels. Newcastle’s pressing structure has also been picked apart, most noticeably by Manchester City on three occasions and Barcelona in the Champions League. Fatigue is surely a significant contributor for a team who have played 51 matches across four competitions, but there is no easy fix to Newcastle’s issues. Everton made 19 errors leading to a shot in their first 16 games, largely down to a lack of communication in the box, resulting in missed assignments and hacked clearances. They committed two each in matches against Leeds, Brighton, Wolves, West Ham, Tottenham, Manchester United and Nottingham Forest. James Tarkowski was responsible for four of the 19. Over the past 15 matches, Tarkowski has made another three errors, one of which — a misplaced pass against Brentford — led to a goal. But Everton’s total number has dropped by over half to nine. They have still had a few issues at the back, but are winning a higher share of their total duels (54 per cent vs 51 per cent in the first 16 games) and aerial battles (56 vs 54). Reducing basic errors has helped them rise to eighth in the league table, just three points behind fifth-placed Liverpool, with a home Merseyside derby looming on April 19. Since December 15, no player in the league has made more errors leading to an opposition shot than Curtis Jones (four, level with Djed Spence of Spurs). Three of his four came in the first half of the 1-0 win at Forest in February and were more of an indictment of the team’s struggles than of Jones individually. He has been the only deep-lying Liverpool midfielder to regularly get into positions to receive passes, and teams have focused on locking him down once the ball arrives. Structural deficiencies have been an issue for the outgoing champions for much of the campaign. They have averaged 6.8 interceptions per 90 minutes, the lowest in the past eight seasons, while allowing the most shots (11.2 per 90). The inability to stop teams getting into the final third has meant they have already made 26 errors, having committed 31 in 2024-25 en route to winning the title. Bournemouth’s aggressive man-marking setup without the ball can drop players into unfamiliar positions. That — and their direct style, which makes for end-to-end games — can lead to mistakes as individuals are forced to change direction at pace. Their start to the season was admirable, with only eight errors across the first 16 matches. Three of those — including two in the 4-4 draw against Manchester United, by Djordje Petrovic and Adrien Truffert — led to goals. In the past 15 games, Bournemouth have made nine errors leading to a shot, but none have ended with the ball in their net. Some of that — like the Thierno Barry miss below for Everton from another Petrovic mistake — has been down to good fortune… … but others, like this James Hill double-block in the same game after another clanger by his goalkeeper, point to resolute last-ditch defending when they give the ball away. Unai Emery’s side struggled to hold onto the ball in defensive areas across their first 16 matches, with their opponents winning a league-high 4.9 possessions per 90 minutes in Villa’s defensive third. That contributed to 14 errors leading to a shot. Nine of those came within the first 10 minutes of a half, and three ended in goals. Another came right at the end of the first half, in a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool, when goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez passed the ball straight to Mohamed Salah. Villa’s giveaways followed a similar trend. As one of Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana or Youri Tielemans acted as their outlet in the build-up, teams simply marked them tightly or swarmed once they received possession. Across the past 15 games, their opponents have won 4.1 possessions per 90 in Villa’s defensive third. But the problem has shifted instead from in-possession issues to defensive lapses, resulting in 17 total errors, with eight ending in goals. This one for Everton, after defender Pau Torres and Martinez make mistakes within seconds of each other, sums it up nicely. Both have made one other error leading to a goal too, putting them alongside Lucas Digne (also two) for the most since December 15. Matty Cash and Lamare Bogarde were responsible for one each against Manchester United away and at home. Burnley have taken over from Villa since December 15 in leading the league for opposition regains in their defensive third at 5.4 per 90 minutes. But their bigger problem has been misjudged clearances near their goal, contributing to half of their six errors leading to goals. Josh Laurent slipped against Bournemouth and Florentino Luis could not slow himself down against Sunderland. When they faced Brighton, Florentino tried to slide in to rescue a poor Lesley Ugochukwu pass, only to gift the ball to Yasin Ayari, who scored. Add in two handling mistakes by the otherwise solid Martin Dubravka that directly led to goals and Burnley have had too many avoidable concessions. Many of their 13 errors leading to shots in those first 16 games came while attempting to play out from the back, a strategy head coach Scott Parker has largely ditched since. Discipline has been a constant theme in the discourse surrounding Chelsea, given they lead the league with eight red cards and also in yellows for dissent (21). They have consistently made errors leading to shots too, with 13 in their first 16 matches and 14 in the subsequent 15. Josh Acheampong was the primary culprit in the first half of the season, with four mistakes in just 351 minutes of game action. The biggest one of those came with 10-man Chelsea already losing 2-1 to Brighton as he passed straight to Brajan Gruda, who set up Danny Welbeck to seal the win in stoppage time. In the past 15 matches, the generally reliable duo of Reece James and Moises Caicedo have made two errors each leading to a shot, all coming after receiving the ball in midfield. Robert Sanchez, who has been generally solid in goal, has also committed two, including allowing Beto’s shot to squeeze through his legs in the 3-0 loss to Everton before the March international break. Errors are not what you would commonly associate with Sunderland, given the role of their defence in them pushing towards a top-half finish in their first season back at Premier League level for eight years. But they averaged one error leading to a shot per game in their first 16 outings of the season and have continued to do so in the next 15. Five of their first 16 errors ended in goals, with two of those coming inside the first 15 minutes against Bournemouth in November, while two more were cheap giveaways in midfield under pressure against Liverpool and Arsenal. In the past 15 matches, only two of their 15 errors have ended in goals, more than only four teams (Leeds, Bournemouth and both Manchester clubs). Luke O’Nien’s poor pass against Newcastle in the Tyne-Wear derby win was the most recent, while the other was in the return against Bournemouth, with Robin Roefs and Omar Alderete failing to stop Evanilson converting a Marcus Tavernier cross. Sunderland have not lost any of the games in which they have conceded goals via errors. They came back against Bournemouth at home and Newcastle away to win 3-2 and 2-1 respectively, while drawing with Liverpool, Arsenal and Villa, and away to Bournemouth. Having made 19 errors leading to a shot (eight goals) in all of last season, Palace have already committed 20 in this one, though only five of them have ended in goals. Chris Richards has contributed to two of the five. He flicked on a long Leeds throw straight to Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who scored on the second attempt in December, three months after the USMNT international also intended to head the ball clear against Liverpool but inadvertently set up Federico Chiesa. Forty-five per cent of Palace’s errors (nine of the 20), though, have come from Ismaila Sarr, Daichi Kamada, Adam Wharton, Will Hughes, Jefferson Lerma and Jean-Philippe Mateta. Oliver Glasner’s system requires everyone to pitch in defensively but also be prepared for a quick breakaway. That has occasionally led to momentary indecision from his players and turnovers in their own third. Brentford have put together the opposite trend. They made 28 errors leading to a shot (eight goals) in 2024-25 but have cut that to 19 after 31 games of this season. The concern for first-year head coach Keith Andrews is that seven of those have resulted in goals, with four coming at the end of the first half. In the wild 4-3 win against Burnley in February, Michael Kayode needlessly slid in to try to block a Jaidon Anthony cross and rolled it into his own net seconds before the half-time whistle. The previous weekend, during a 2-0 loss to Brighton, Nathan Collins’ attempt at a backheeled clearance fell straight to Danny Welbeck, who scored the second goal. Collins’ centre-back partner Sepp van den Berg has been responsible for the other two. The first came at Nottingham Forest on the opening weekend of the season when Elliot Anderson intercepted his pass out from the back to send Chris Wood, who had a running start, through to score. Van den Berg was also culpable against Tottenham in December, giving the ball away at the halfway line to Xavi Simons, who could race into the space the Brentford defender had vacated before scoring in the 43rd minute. Overall, Brentford have conceded seven times in the final five minutes of the first half plus stoppage time, the worst record in the league along with Spurs and Newcastle. West Ham made only two errors leading to a goal (out of nine leading to a shot) in their first 16 matches, both by their goalkeepers: Mads Hermansen helplessly clawed at a Chelsea corner from which Moises Caicedo scored in a 5-1 home defeat in August, and Alphonse Areola spilt a regulation save in the dying moments of November's 3-2 win against Burnley, also at the London Stadium. Across the past 15 matches, they have committed four errors that have led to the opposition scoring (from 11 in total). In the 2-2 home draw with Brighton in late December, Areola unconvincingly punched a corner straight to Joel Veltman, who scored. Then, in the 2-0 March defeat at Villa, Hermansen pushed a tame Morgan Rogers shot straight back into the danger zone and Ollie Watkins tucked it away. Their two other errors leading to goals came from their defenders in the space of one week in December: Kyle Walker-Peters and Jean-Claire Todibo made a mess of trying to cut out a pass in the box at Manchester City to let Erling Haaland seal a 3-0 home win and Ollie Scarles completely missed a clearance in the area and Harry Wilson set up Raul Jimenez to score the only goal for Fulham at the London Stadium. Wolves tended to make costly errors in their first 16 matches, from which they won only two points. Seven of their 17 errors leading to a shot ended in goals, with the ratio (41 per cent) ranking second behind Brentford and Leeds (50 per cent each, but from 14 combined errors). Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Emmanuel Agbadou contributed two each in those matches. Bellegarde gave the ball away in his own third to concede a stoppage-time winner in October's 3-2 loss at home to Burnley, two months after being dispossessed in a similar position in the lead-up to the only goal in a defeat at Bournemouth. Agbadou passed the ball straight into midfield against both Manchester City and Leeds, with both teams capitalising in respective 4-0 and 3-1 wins. In their past 15 league matches, four of Wolves’ 12 errors leading to a shot have ended in goals, with the ratio of 33 per cent ranking closer to midtable. Ladislav Krejci, who has popped up with important goals at the other end, has made four errors himself. One of those led to Brentford’s opener in a 2-0 December win after Krejci misjudged the bounce of a cross, letting it bounce over his head and reach eventual scorer Keane Lewis-Potter. Forest had already made 18 errors by the 16-game mark of the season, and they have added 13 more in the 15 games since to move seven clear of the 24 they made in all 38 matches during the 2024-25 Premier League. Playing four different styles under four managers was bound to cause confusion and indecision on the pitch, and it has shown. They made three errors in the opening three games under Nuno Espirito Santo, eight in five with Ange Postecoglou in charge and then 16 in the 18-game Sean Dyche era. Dyche also oversaw four errors leading to goals, including this John Victor brain-fade in January's 3-1 loss at Villa Park… …and Brazilian centre-back Morato's poor defending to gift Stefanos Tzimas a goal in a 2-0 home defeat to Brighton in November. Matz Sels also misjudged a Tavernier corner to concede an ‘Olimpico’ against Bournemouth in October. Head coach Vitor Pereira’s five games in charge have involved four errors, too. Fulham have conceded eight times from individual errors and are one of only two teams in the division to make two leading to a goal in two different matches (along with Spurs, who have done it on three occasions, and Burnley). The first instance was their 2-1 defeat to Newcastle in October. Calvin Bassey first gave the ball to Jacob Murphy for their 17th-minute opener before passing straight to Anthony Elanga in the 90th minute, which led to Bruno Guimaraes' winner. The other was a 2-2 draw with Liverpool in January. Raul Jimenez lost the ball in midfield as Fulham pushed forward, allowing Conor Bradley to set up Florian Wirtz to make it 1-1, then Joachim Andersen misread Jeremie Frimpong’s cross to allow Cody Gakpo to tap home at the far post and put the visitors in front. Bassey was also involved in a mix-up with goalkeeper Bernd Leno to allow Crysencio Summerville to score West Ham's winner at Craven Cottage last month. Spot the pattern. Connect the terms Find the hidden link between sports terms Anantaajith Raghuraman (or Ananth) is a tactics and data writer covering football. He covered Indian football for Sportskeeda and analysed teams from numerous European leagues outside of the top five for Total Football Analysis prior to joining The Athletic. He is currently based in London. Follow Anantaajith on Twitter @anantaajith
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